Mar 17, 2023·edited Mar 17, 2023Liked by Kevin Beck
Wellesley should admit trans men because they are, afterall, women. I think they headline writer got their terms backwards.
Its the trans men issue that shows the idiocy of the "trans women are women" discourse. Someone please show me the trans man (that is, natal woman) that is saying "Goddamn it, I am a man, not a woman, so I must compete in men's sports/go to men's prison!". Nope - it is only trans women trying to gain access to women's sports - the fact that it is never the reverse tells you both that it isn't transphobia wanting to preserve women's sports because precisely nobody cares if trans men want to compete in men's sports and that it is wanting an unfair advantage that compels trans women to compete in women's sports. Wellesley would have all along admitted trans men because they know they are women and no trans man anywhere who wanted to go to Wellesley would have said "Aw damn! I wanted to go to Wellesley, but I am a man so I guess I can't". We have a trans man power lifter at our gym and guess where they don't compete - in the men's division. And they are on gear and test yet I can bench press their max 20 times and I am a skinny runner and all they do is powerlift. They do have a better deadlift and squat, but I don't do either of those things. And they aren't even close to as strong as Rachel. So much for "male puberty/fetal development doesn't matter".
Mar 17, 2023·edited Mar 17, 2023Liked by Kevin Beck
The community masking discourse reminds of of Taleb here. Think of masking here as having 1 bullet chambered instead of 5.
"Assume a collection of people play Russian Roulette a single time for a million dollars –this is the central story in Fooled by Randomness. About five out of six will make money. If someone used a standard cost-benefit analysis, he would have claimed that one has 83.33% chance of gains, for an “expected” average return per shot of $833,333. But if you played Russian roulette more than once, you are deemed to end up in the cemetery. Your expected return is … not computable."
Mar 17, 2023·edited Mar 17, 2023Liked by Kevin Beck
The whole "masks work" argument is just idiocy all around. Community masking works in the same way screaming "eat something" at anorexics works. The fact that people can starve to death and avoid starvation by eating more doesn't make "eat something!" a useful intervention for eating disorders. These "masks work" people want to cite single interaction evidence rather than understanding the difference between playing Russian Roulette one time and playing Russian Roulette ten thousand times. If you are going to play ten thousand times, the first gun may as well have all chambers loaded unless there is an advantage in delaying your fatal head wound by maybe a few trials. Taleb talks about this https://www.goodreads.com/quotes/617349-reality-is-far-more-vicious-than-russian-roulette-first-it
The latest Kathleen Stock interview gets this so exactly right. Civil Rights are for gender expression, not for gender identity. Why isn't that adequate?
Wellesley should admit trans men because they are, afterall, women. I think they headline writer got their terms backwards.
Its the trans men issue that shows the idiocy of the "trans women are women" discourse. Someone please show me the trans man (that is, natal woman) that is saying "Goddamn it, I am a man, not a woman, so I must compete in men's sports/go to men's prison!". Nope - it is only trans women trying to gain access to women's sports - the fact that it is never the reverse tells you both that it isn't transphobia wanting to preserve women's sports because precisely nobody cares if trans men want to compete in men's sports and that it is wanting an unfair advantage that compels trans women to compete in women's sports. Wellesley would have all along admitted trans men because they know they are women and no trans man anywhere who wanted to go to Wellesley would have said "Aw damn! I wanted to go to Wellesley, but I am a man so I guess I can't". We have a trans man power lifter at our gym and guess where they don't compete - in the men's division. And they are on gear and test yet I can bench press their max 20 times and I am a skinny runner and all they do is powerlift. They do have a better deadlift and squat, but I don't do either of those things. And they aren't even close to as strong as Rachel. So much for "male puberty/fetal development doesn't matter".
If an all women's college begins admitting trans men isn't that a tacit admission that trans men are really women?
The community masking discourse reminds of of Taleb here. Think of masking here as having 1 bullet chambered instead of 5.
"Assume a collection of people play Russian Roulette a single time for a million dollars –this is the central story in Fooled by Randomness. About five out of six will make money. If someone used a standard cost-benefit analysis, he would have claimed that one has 83.33% chance of gains, for an “expected” average return per shot of $833,333. But if you played Russian roulette more than once, you are deemed to end up in the cemetery. Your expected return is … not computable."
https://medium.com/incerto/the-logic-of-risk-taking-107bf41029d3
The whole "masks work" argument is just idiocy all around. Community masking works in the same way screaming "eat something" at anorexics works. The fact that people can starve to death and avoid starvation by eating more doesn't make "eat something!" a useful intervention for eating disorders. These "masks work" people want to cite single interaction evidence rather than understanding the difference between playing Russian Roulette one time and playing Russian Roulette ten thousand times. If you are going to play ten thousand times, the first gun may as well have all chambers loaded unless there is an advantage in delaying your fatal head wound by maybe a few trials. Taleb talks about this https://www.goodreads.com/quotes/617349-reality-is-far-more-vicious-than-russian-roulette-first-it
The latest Kathleen Stock interview gets this so exactly right. Civil Rights are for gender expression, not for gender identity. Why isn't that adequate?
https://youtu.be/GJhndRR4vF0